Recruit / Forecast
Pipeline forecast
FY26 · Q1
141
Sworn today (of 152 authorized)
150+9
Projected fielded, Q2 2027
21
Academy starts, next 4 quarters
$1.18M-31% vs FY25
Annualized OT cost of vacancy
Projected academy starts
Cohort math on current volume and historical stage conversion. Not a model, arithmetic.
Next regional academy class: Sep 14, 2026. 3 seats confirmed, 2 pending medical.
Stage conversion and dwell
Trailing 24 months. Background is the bottleneck.
| Stage | Convert | Median days | |
|---|
| Applied → Screening |
68% |
9 |
|
| Screening → Testing |
74% |
14 |
|
| Testing → Background |
81% |
12 |
|
| Background → Cond. Offer |
62% |
47 |
|
| Cond. Offer → Med / Psych |
95% |
10 |
|
| Med / Psych → Academy |
88% |
21 |
|
Background dwell of 47 days drives the longest wait. Two more background investigators would recover an estimated 18 days.